Thursday, October 25, 2007

Predictions - October 27

Texas A&M Commerce at East Central
The Lions running game has been clicking the past few weeks with Nabil El-Amin garnering 3 straight games of 100+ yards rushing. The defense has found its groove too, keeping the last 4 opponents to under 300 yards of offense. Marcus Johnson continues to be the East Central offense and will try to use the passing game to maintain ball control and get an early lead again. Lions running game will continue to do well agains the LSC's worst rush defense. TAMC 21-17.

Midwestern State at Southeastern Oklahoma
SEO has won its last two to find themselves in the thick of the LSC North race. Kolby Williams has 7 TD passes in the last 3 games. However, in 3 previous games against the LSC South, SEO is 0-3, and was outscored 37-109. Midwestern State rebounded from 2 straight losses to give Texas A&M Kingsville their worst defeat in school history last week, 73-6. The Mustangs amassed 600 yards of offense, and converted 5 Javelina miscues into 35 points. Daniel Polk went over 7,000 yards of total offense during the game. They will continue their trend of beating up on lesser teams 42-21.

Angelo State at West Texas A&M
Daniel Thomas was enjoying a great season going into last week, but went down with an injury early, finishing with only 3 carries. Jeremy Hill came in and did a nice job with 103 yards and 2 TDs but had 2 costly fumbles (one returned for a TD, and the last with a minute to go inside the Commerce 10). West Texas is getting banged up and should try to use this game to get people healthy, or at least give the backups some more game experience. Buffs win this one going away 45-21.

Southwestern Oklahoma at Central Oklahoma
Just as the Bronchos thought they had the inside track to the LSC North title, they lose their 6th straight game to SEO. Ben Birmingham was shut down (42 yards), and Ryan O'Hara was ineffective. SWO has lost 3 of its last 4 games, and seems to have regressed this season. Steve Day three for 316 yds and 3 TDs against the Riverhawks last week. If the Bronchos don't try to pass much, they'll win 21-14.

Eastern New Mexico at Texas A&M-Kingsville
Both of these teams come into the game with four game losing streaks. Anthony Ramos got his first collegiate start last week, and led the Greyhounds with 83 yards rushing and had 110 yds and a TD passing. Tarleton held ENMU to 200 yards below their season average in rushing yards. The Javelinas will be looking to rebound from last week's disaster at Midwestern State. The loser of this game has the inside track to the LSC South cellar. TAMK 27-24.

Game of the Year #4 Abilene Christian at Tarleton State
In losing to West Texas A&M last week, the Wildcats now have their backs agains the wall, and another defeat will eliminate them from NCAA playoff consideration in all probability. Tarleton can lose at least one game, maybe two, and still get in. With WTAM the final week they don't want to push the issue. The key to this game could be the running game. Bernard Scott found the end zone 3 times last week, but was held to under 100 yards Tarleton may not have one back with Scott's numbers, but they have 3 really good backs, any of which can beat you. The ACU run defense may be wearing down like last year - the past 4 weeks teams have averaged 200 yds rushing. Meanwhile Tarleton is second in run defense. Advantage Tarleton. Abilene needs to come out of the gates fast and keep Tarleton from controlling the clock and field position. Anything less and their playoff hopes are gone. Tarleton wins 31-28 and keeps a possible showdown of 10-0 teams in the final week alive.


Anonymous said...

Storm's QB Williams is out, tore his ACL last week. He was on track to be a 1st team all conference kid, but injuries cut him down. His back up is very athletic, but very inconsistent. Rumor is that a true freshman was taking snaps in practice. Tough game for an 18 year old kid to start his career in.

LSC Scoop said...

Best of luck to Kolby, and the Storm. Starting a new QB doesn't affect the predicted outcome, but will probably widen the point spread.

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Lone Star Conference

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