Thursday, August 14, 2008

LSC Football - Midwestern State Preview

2007 Recap
It's hard to believe that a team that outscores its opponents by a 44.5-18.6 margin falls short of the playoffs, but that's what happened to the Midwestern State Mustangs last year. MSU either won big (an average margin of 38 pts with 22 pts the closest), or lost close games (an average of 6 pts per game). Particularly difficult were losses to WT (25-20) and ACU (42-41). On a positive sidenote, the Mustangs dealt Texas A&M-Kingsville the worst loss in their history.

2008 Outlook
Out with the old
QB Daniel Polk (1st LSC, Daktronics 1st All-American, career 3,590 rushing yds, 44 TDs, 4,679 passing yds, 38 yds)
WR Del Juan Lee (2nd LSC)
C Tony Burson (1st LSC, 2nd Daktronics and AP All-American)
OT Immanuel Sennett (2nd LSC)
DT Todd Zoglmann (2nd LSC)
DE Justin Foyt (2nd LSC)
LB Frank Brown (1st LSC)
LB Cody Thompson (2nd LSC)
S Darron Harbet (2nd LSC)

Welcome Back
RB Marcus Mathis
RB BJ Mathis
WR Mookie Davis
TE Chad Olson
TE Sasan Faradineh (HM LSC)
OT Demond Strickland (HM LSC)
OG Lance Calloway
OG Brandon Jones
DT Kellen Belcher (2nd LSC)
DE Stephen Turner (HM LSC)
DE Austin Shields
LB Jacob Martin (HM LSC)
LB Emmanuel Bagley (2nd LSC)
FS Darius Bortters
S Ryan Craven (2nd LSC)
CB Brandon Williams
CB Patrick Roberts (1st LSC)

In with the new
QB Zack Eskridge
OL Brandon Washington
DT Sharod Basey
DT Apollos Daily
DE Chaz Walker
LB Brandon Onu
LB Siosaia Moekiola

All Conference Candidates
B J Mathis
Kellen Belcher (All-American Candidate)
Emmanuel Bagley
Darius Bortters
Ryan Craven
Patrick Roberts

Big Games
Week 1 - SEO - received more votes in the AFCA poll, so this could really get one team's season off to a solid start
Week 3 - #20 Newberry - should be a great non-conference game. We should have a pretty good idea of MSU after this game.
Week 5 - #10 West Texas A&M - tough road game. MSU may be in must win mode by this week.
Week 6 - Tarleton State - only team to beat MSU by more than 5 last year.
Week 10 - #8 Abilene Christian - the Mustangs had their chances last year, but couldn't deliver the knockout punch. This has become a great season ending game.

Best Case Scenario
9-1 The deep Mustang defense gets even tougher, improves the teams LSC leading turnover margin, and the offense doesn't miss Polk as much as thought

Worst Case Scenario
4-6 The tough schedule stunts the teams confidence, defense is simply solid, not great and offense suffers dropoff from losses of Polk, Lee and two all conference linemen.

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