Friday, September 18, 2015

Week 3 Game Previews

LSC in the national statistic rankings (top 20)
Rushing - #3 ENMU - 362.5 ypge
Passing - #7 ASU 376 ypg, #13 TAMC  338 ypg
Total offense - #2 ASU 616 ypg, #10 TAMC #10 548 ypg
Run Defense - None
Pass Defense - #11 MSU, 103 ypg
Pass Defense Eff - #10 MSU 75.60, #15 TAMK 84.24
Total Defense - None

Individually, Kyle Washington is #9 in passing yards per game, while Harrison Stewart is #12.  Richard Cooper is #12 in rushing yards per game.  Le'Nard Meyers is #8 in receiving yards per game.  Buck Wilson is #10 in kick returns

#8 Angelo State vs. Bacone

Quick Stats (Off-Def)
Scoring - ASU 50.0-25.5, 
Rushing - ASU 240.0-133.5
Passing - ASU 376.0-283.5
Passing Efficiency- ASU 126.1-95.9
Yds per play - ASU 6.3-5.0

Q - Who in the heck is Bacone?
A - Bacone College is Oklahoma's oldest continuing center of higher education (1880).  It is located in Muskogee, Oklahoma, and has an enrollment of approximately 900.  The Warriors are an NAIA team and compete in the Central States Football League.  They are 0-2 this year, losing to Lamar (3-66) and Texas Southern (0-63).  They are averaging just 104 yards of offense, while allowing 486.  QB Trey Seward was the only name on the roster that we recognized (he spent some time at Midwestern State).

Q - Why is Angelo State playing a mediocre (that may be generous) NAIA team?
A - We don't have any idea.  And that goes for Eastern New Mexico next month as well.  More confounding is a matchup of this type at the Lone Star Football Festival.  And this is not intended to slight Bacone.  It's just that sometimes match ups between schools in different classifications shouldn't happen.

Angelo State continues to ease into the 2015 season with a game that should see everyone that travels get a chance to play.   Look for the Rams to fatten their offensive stats and for the defense to have its best game.  ASU 56-0.

#22 Texas A&M-Commerce at Texas A&M-Kingsville
Live Stats
TAMC Game Notes
"The real LSC Festival" -

Quick Stats (Off-Def)
Scoring - TAMC 46-34, TAMK 27-19
Rushing - TAMC 210-87, TAMK 126-167
Passing - TAMC 338-337, TAMK 230-156
Passing Efficiency - TAMC 141-138, TAMK 145-84
Yds per play - TAMC 6.7-5.0, TAMK 5.4-3.9

The Lions opponents so far have been an average team and a top-notch squad.  So far, the offense has been up to the task, gaining 536 yards against Adams State and 560 against Delta State, scoring 48 and 44 points respectively.  The did it a bit differently in each game, very balanced against Adams (282 yds, 3 TD rushing, 254 yds, 3 TD passing), while relying more on the passing game against Delta (422-4 passing, 138-1 rushing).  The defense has done a great job both weeks shutting down the run (79 yds vs. Adams, 95 vs. Delta) and have not allowed a run of over 18 yards.  The pass defense has given up a bit more (177 yds vs. Adams, and 496 vs. Delta State).

Still not sure what to make of the Javelinas in 2015.  They sure do look to be improved from the last two seasons, but exactly how much is hard to say.  The offense had a nice second game, gaining 443 yards and scoring 38 points against Missouri S&T.  Myles Carr and Stevie Joe Dorman both played and had a good game throwing the ball.  So far, Carr has a 137.5 QB rating and Dorman is at 180.4 (Last year, the combined QB rating was 91.8 and in 2013 is was 99.1).  Meanwhile, the defense held the Miners to just 267 yards, almost 200 yards better than 2014's average for the Hogs.  The run defense is giving up 167 yards per game, but just 3.5 per carry.  The pass defense is holding opponents to under a 50% completion rate.  However, TAMC will bring a much more potent offense than the Javelinas have seen to date.

After two weeks, there are still a lot of questions that have not been answered.  This game should give us a better idea of how much the Javelinas have improved and whether or not the Lions will be in contention for a playoff spot at the end of the season.  TAMC takes the Chennault Cup back to Commerce, 35-17.

Midwestern State vs. Eastern New Mexico
Live Stats
ENMU Game Notes
Quick Stats (Off-Def)
Scoring - MSU 23.5-8.0, ENMU 42.0-20.0
Rushing - MSU 151.0-163.5, ENMU 362.5-164.5
Passing - MSU 173.5-103.0, ENMU 104.5-263.0
Passing Efficiency - MSU 119.9-75.6, ENMU 129.8-118.0
Yds per play - MSU 4.7-3.7, ENMU 5.9-5.7

Through Week 2, MSU doesn't look like the squad we are used to seeing.  The offense, specifically the running game, is not yet at the high level we are used to seeing.  Considering their first two opponents (Truman State and Adams State), we expected 250-300 yards per game, not 302 total.  Luckily, the defense has been better than expected.  Against Truman State, the Mustangs gave up just 171 yards, and set the offense up with short fields for three of their TDs.  Last week, the defense scored the Mustangs' only TD in the game and got an interception in overtime, allowing the offense to kick a field goal to escape with the win.

On the other hand, the Greyhounds look like we expected on offense - 360 yards rushing per game, 100 yards passing and taking care of New Mexico Highlands and Adams State.  The defense is giving up 428 yards per game, but is forcing turnovers (4 fumbles, 1 interception).

This matchup looks great on paper. Who wins the battle between the Greyhounds potent running offense vs. MSU's stingy defense?  Or will the difference come which teams improves the most on the flip-side - the Mustangs' offense or ENMU's defense?  We'll take the Mustangs 24-21.

West Texas A&M vs. Tarleton State

Quick Stats (Off-Def)
Scoring - WTAM 27.5-28.5, TSU 35-34
Rushing - WTAM 180.0-156.5, TSU 247.0-255.0
Passing - WTAM 187.0-183.5, TSU 237.0-343.0
Passing Effiency - WTAM 93.8-92.3, TSU 148.5-186.2
Yds per play - WTAM 4.5-4.9, TSU 6.4-8.0

Two weeks in, and WT has more questions to answer than at the beginning of the season.  Splitting  two games against ranked teams isn't too bad, especially winning against the #2 ranked defending national champion in dramatic fashion.  But Colorado State Pueblo is not the same team as in recent years, especially on offense, and Azusa Pacific trailed Humboldt State 55-20 in the fourth quarter, before narrowing the gap to just 62-41 with a TD with 3 seconds in the game.  Injuries to key players are not helping matters either.

Meanwhile, Tarleton gave notice that their offense will be a force to reckon with once again.  A balanced attack (247 rushinig, 237 passing, 34 points) with four TD drives averaging 72 yards, should have been enough to get the win last week.  But the defense did not show any improvement.  Findlay was able to score 5 TDs on drives of 82, 56, 90, 99, and 83 yards (82 yard average), piling up 598 yards (8.0 per play).

Much like the MSU-ENMU game, this one looks good from here.  Will the Buffs' offense get on track against TSU's (lack of ) defense?  Is WT's defense better than first glance, considering playing two ranked teams, or will the Texans offense put up big numbers yet again?  This looks to be an offensive shootout.  Tarleton squeaks by, 31-30.

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Lone Star Conference

Angelo State University

Cameron University

Eastern New Mexico University

Texas A&M-Commerce

Tarleton State University

Texas A&M-Kingsville

Texas Woman's College

University of Texas of the Permian Basin

West Texas A&M University

Western New Mexico