Monday, October 26, 2015

LSC Scoop Power Poll and Rankings - Week 8

We apologize for not have game previews last week.  There was an unexpected disruption last week which did not allow for enough time to post.

LSC Scoop Power Poll

  1. Texas A&M-Commerce - Back-to-back LSC Regular Season Champions
  2. Midwestern State - lost the battle, but could still win the war
  3. Eastern New Mexico - could ENMU win out and sneak into the playoffs (NCAA playoffs)
  4. Angelo State - did the weak non-conference schedule hurt the Rams?
  5. West Texas A&M - an upset over ENMU and an ASU loss would put WT in top bracket
  6. Tarleton State - breaking the scoring record takes a little of the sting out of the season
  7. Texas A&M-Kingsville - has the W/L record taken some air out of rebuilding Javelinas?

AFCA Coaches Poll
1. West Georgia (first time for UWG in top spot)
2. Northwest Missouri
3. Ferris State
4. Colorado State-Pueblo
5. Ashland
8. Texas A&M-Commerce
9. Grand Valley State
12. Colorado Mines
14. Midwestern State
19. Colorado Mesa
20. Indianapolis
22. Michigan Tech
Receiving Votes - None

LSC Scoop Regional Ranking Outlook

  1. Ferris State (2 Last Week)
  2. Midwestern State (1)
  3. Ashland (5)
  4. Indianapolis (4)
  5. Texas A&M-Commerce (8)
  6. Grand Valley (7)
  7. Colorado State-Pueblo (9)
  8. Colorado Mines (3)
  9. Colorado Mesa (11)
  10. McKendree (6)
Ferris State has a great shot at the top seed.  Even with Lake Erie, Northern Michigan and Walsh remaining on their schedule, their season to date SOS is the second highest of SR playoff contenders.

Midwestern State is pretty solid at #2, due to the strongest SOS of the playoff contenders.   They have Texas A&M-Kingsville next week and will likely face Eastern New Mexico in the first round of the LSC playoff.  The following week would most likely be Texas A&M-Commerce if they win. 

Ashland, despite being undefeated, have the second worst SOS of the playoff contenders, and are closer to 7th place than 2nd in our calculations.  They face a huge challenge this week against Grand Valley and quality challenger the following week in Michigan Tech.

The team with the worst SOS is Indianapolis, which is why the undefeated (in D2 games) Greyhounds are #4.  Unlike Ashland, there are no serious challenges to Indy the rest of the way - William Jewell, Missouri S&T and St. Josephs are a combined 11-11.

Texas A&M-Commerce jumped three spots with the win over Midwestern State.  The Lions will have Angelo State (or West Texas A&M in a longshot) followed by Eastern New Mexico or Midwestern State.

Grand Valley beat a fading Findlay and moved up one spot.  They have a tough one against Ashland, then ease out with a middle of the road Tiffin, and a down Saginaw Valley.

Colorado State Pueblo moved up two with a win over previously unbeaten Colorado School of Mines.  Despite playing 7-1 Colorado Mesa next week, their SOS takes a hit with winless Black Hills and New Mexico Highlands sandwiching that one.

Colorado School of Mines fares a little bit better SOS-wise, with Colorado Mesa this week and mediocre Western State and Adams State following.

Colorado Mesa has the strongest closing schedule of the RMAC contenders, with Mines this week and Pueblo next week.  By the time they get to Western State in the season finale, their season will either be over, or they will be solidly in the top 7.

McKendree was probably going to drop out of the top 7 b/c of a 5-15 combined record of their closing three opponents, but losing to Missouri S&T assured they will not make the NCAA playoffs.

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Lone Star Conference

Angelo State University

Cameron University

Eastern New Mexico University

Texas A&M-Commerce

Tarleton State University

Texas A&M-Kingsville

Texas Woman's College

University of Texas of the Permian Basin

West Texas A&M University

Western New Mexico