Friday, September 23, 2016

Week Four - LSC Game Previews and LSC Scoop Expert Panel Pickems

LSC Scoop Volleyball Poll (As of 9-19-2016)

  1. Angelo State
  2. Texas A&M-Kingsville
  3. Tarleton State
  4. Western New Mexico
  5. West Texas A&M
  6. Texas A&M-Commerce
  7. Midwestern State
  8. Eastern New Mexico
  9. Texas Womans
  10. UT Permian Basin
  11. Cameron

Tuesday 
TAMC 3-1 TWU
St. Mary 3-1 TAMK
MSU 3-0 Cameron
ASU 3-0 Tarleton
ENMU 3-1 NMHU
No. 8 ASU edges Tarleton in three sets - Brad Keith, The Flash Today


Friday
TAMK at TAMC
Tarleton at WTAM
Angelo at UT Permian Basin
Cameron at WNMU
MSU at ENMU
Lady Buffs set to face TSU, ASU - Tyler Anderson, Amarillo Globe News
ASU-UTPB match capsule - San Angelo Standard Times
ASU-MSU match capsule - San Angelo Standard Times

Saturday
TAMK at TWU
TAMK at DBU
Tarleton at UT Permian Basin
Angelo at WTAM
MSU at WNMU
Cameron at ENMU
St Edwards at TAMC

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Maroon and White Zone - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
Getting personal with Chase Mardis - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News 
Coach Speak - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
No. 11 Mustangs finally playing at home - J. Scott Russell, Times Record News
Rams hoping to get back on track in home debut - Charles Bryce, San Angelo Standard-Times
Javelinas football gameday at Texas A&M Commerce - Corpus Christi Caller-Times
Mustangs are looking for 2nd football win - C. P. Thompson, Silver City Sun-News
Three keys to a Tarleton win at WT - Brad Keith, The Flash Today
WT hopes for quick start against Tarleton State - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
A&M-Commerce continues to perform impressively - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
WT offensive line starting to put it together - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
Burtscher: Understanding is the key - Brad Keith, The Flash Today
Refining his Craft; DB helps MSU get big win - J. Scott Russell, Times Record News
Three game road trip was rough on Rams - Charles Bryce, San Angelo Standard Times


Game Day Media




Eastern New Mexico at Angelo State - 6:00
The 2016 season is not going the way either of these programs anticipated.  Both squads are off to 1-2 starts, and struggling to stay in the top half of the LSC.  Few expected the Greyhounds to beat Texas A&M-Commerce last week, but I don't think anyone expected them to trail 42-0 midway through three quarters on the way to a crushing 49-10 loss.  Kamal Cass is a great running back, but the Lions held him to 62 yards and 0 TDs rushing, and ENMU does not have a passing game to supplement the run game.  For the Rams, last weeks loss was surprising, and the margin of defeat was shocking.  The defense played well early, limiting Tarleton to 16 yards on their first 6 possessions, but eventually wore down as offensive turnovers and a couple of long TD runs in the second half blew the game wide open.  The Rams offense was unable to generate much of a threat, gaining just 222 yards against a defense giving up 560 coming into the game.


Tarleton State at #RV West Texas A&M - 6:00
Now here's a matchup of teams that seem to be on the upswing from slow starts.  The Texans had the worst defense in the nation last year, and had given up 550 yards and 32 points per game in their first two games.  Last week, the defense limited Angelo State to a FG (a blocked PAT accounted for the other 2 points) and 222 yards.  The offense started off slowly, but took advantage of two 3rd quarter turnovers for short field TD drives, and then had two long runs to finish out the scoring.  The Buffs brought UT-Permian Basin back to earth with a 48-14 thumping on Sunday.  The defense did not allow a score until the last minute of the game and the offense posted season highs in yardage and points.


Oklahoma Panhandle State at #11 Midwestern State - 7:00
The Aggies complete their four week road trip, paying a visit to nationally ranked Midwestern State.  They come into the game after a disappointing 44-21 loss to WNMU.  While the offense struggled for consistency in the first half, the defense could not get a stop, allowing six consecutive scoring drives and trailing 37-14 at the break.  On the other hand, the Mustangs return home after surviving an upset scare at TAMUK last week.  Other than an opening FG drive, the Mustangs struggled in the first half, with two turnovers, a safety and 85 yards offensively.  That all changed in the second half as the Mustangs took advantage of two turnovers and scored TDs on all four possessions, outscoring the Javelinas 26-3 in the third, and then holding off a fourth quarter rally.


Western New Mexico at UT Permian Basin - 7:00
WNMU Game Notes     UTPB Game Notes
The Mustangs will be hard pressed to improve on last week's first half.  The offense moved the ball 355 yards and scored 37 points.  The defense forced 2 turnovers and 3 punts, allowing OPSU just one scoring drive.  The only negative was a blocked FG returned for a TD early in the first quarter.  Did Javia Hall (4 TDs passing, 2 TDs rushing) have the game of his life, or is he an emerging LSC star at QB?  The Falcons got a rude introduction to LSC football, suffering a 48-14 loss to WTAM.  The offense struggled most of the day - with 3 turnovers, 8 punts among the first 12 possessions.  The only offensive score came on a  15 play, 75 yard drive at the end of the game.  The defense did a bit better, but not much.  Such is the life of a first year football program.


SR 4 & National Game of the Week - #5 Ashland at #7 Ferris State
Both teams went 10-0 in GLIAC conference play last year, when they did not have to face each other.  Ashland has had two easy games and a solid win over Wayne State in week 2.  Ferris State opened the season with an easy win over Ohio Dominican, and then had come back for a last minute win over Michigan Tech and Northwood, overcoming double digit second half deficits in both games.

Ashland has the second most prolific offense in the GLIAC, scoring 39.7 points per game while gaining 552.3 yards.  Ferris State is a bit behind, with 32.7 points and 465.3 yards.  Defensively, Ashland is tops in the GLIAC giving up just 9.3 points and is third in yards allowed, 284.3.  Ferris State has given up 18 points and 276.7 yards per game.


Bonus Question - Which LSC game will produce the highest combined score?   



Game of the Week 
#RV Texas A&M Kingsville at #6 Texas A&M Commerce - 7:00
The Javelinas served notice that they are ready to compete with the top teams in the LSC.  They traded body blows with Midwestern State but fell short as the Mustangs kicked the game winning FG with 12 seconds remaining in the game.  The Javelinas could not quite overcome a third quarter in which they turned the ball over twice, and MSU outscored them 26-3.  The Lions have to be pleased with last week's ball game.  They built up a 42-0 lead midway through the third quarter, scoring TDs on 6 drives and missing a 47 yard FG on the only non-scoring possession.  They outgained ENMU 423-108 during that stretch, forcing 4 punts and picking off a pass early in the game.

Comparisons - 
Scoring offense - TAMC 44.5, TAMK 43.0
Rushing offense - TAMK 193.0, TAMC 125.0
Passing offense - TAMC 350.0, TAMK 232.7
Passing efficiency - TAMC 213.4, TAMK 181.4
Total offense - 475.0, TAMK 425.7


Scoring defense- TAMC 19.0, TAMK 20.3
Rushing defense - TAMK 60.7, TAMC 174.5
Passing defense - TAMC 167.5, TAMK 208.0
Passing D efficiency - TAMC 93.9, TAMK 102.5
Total defense - TAMK 268.7, TAMC 342.0

QB comparison - #1 and #2 in LSC in passing efficiency
Luis Perez (TAMC) 41-54 664 yds, 7 TDs, 0 Ints, 222.0 efficiency
Myles Carr (TAMK) 49-67 676 yds, 8 TDs, 1 Int, 194.3 efficiency

RB comparison - good numbers, but haven't broken out yet
Richard Cooper (TAMC) - 75.5 ypg, 3 TDs, 4.6 per carry
Greg Pitre (TAMK) - 64.7 ypg, 1 TD, 3.8 per carry

WR comparison - two of the best
Lance Evans (TAMC) - 11-201, 2 TD 18.3 per catch
Anthony Autry (TAMK) 13-232, 3 TD 17.8 per catch





J. Scott Russell
Journalis for the Times Record News
ENMU at Angelo State -- Even after last week, Greyhounds have more offense than Rams have shown, ENMU 35-17

TSU at WT -- Not sure if Texans are for real or Rams just turned the ball over too many times. WT 28-24


OPSU at MSU -- This one won't be as bad as last time they played with Dominic Rhodes carrying the ball (62-0 in 2000), but Mustangs should be able to set the score, MSU 42-10


WNMU at UTPB -- Mustangs were a bit of a surprise last week -- margin more than the victory. I'll take WNMU 27-17


GOW -- This should be the best indication of just how good the Lions are. I'll stick with them for now. A&M-C 45-42


NGOW -- Ashland 36-33


BONUS -- A&M-C and A&M-K


Charles Bryce's Picks
Journalist for the San Angelo Standard-Times
Angelo State
West Texas A&M
Midwestern State
UT Permian Basin
Texas A&M Commerce
Ferris State
Bonus - TAMK at TAMC for most combined points


Joe Price's Picks
Joe is the LSC Columnist for D2Football.com
Eastern New Mexico at Angelo State - ENMU's offense is good but no defense in this game by either opponent. I'll take the Hounds.

Tarleton State at #RV West Texas A&M - TSU had a convincing win under Whitten. WT took care of business on a rare Sunday game. The WT defense will be hard to deal with. I'll take the Buffs.


Oklahoma Panhandle State at #11 Midwestern State - OPSU struggled against WNMU last week and this week gets no better. MSU by at least 2 scores.


Western New Mexico at UT Permian Basin - UTPB got their first dose of the LSC last week and it showed that they are the new kid on the block. I'll take WNMU


Game of the Week - #RV Texas A&M Kingsville at #6 Texas A&M Commerce - Kingsville was about 15 seconds from taking down Midwestern. They have another big battle against a good Lions team. I'll take Commerce.

SR 4 & National Game of the Week - #5 Ashland at #7 Ferris State - Ferris has had some scares so far this by squeaking out some close wins. They have won the past 2 games by a combined total of 3 points. Ashland has looked better. I'll take the Eagles.


BONUS QUESTION - What LSC game will have the highest combined score - This is a tough one this week. I'll take WT-TSU game.


Adam Ostrow's picks
Adam is the sports director for  KAUZ in Wichita Falls
Eastern at ASU: If the Greyhounds get their ground attack back on track, they can keep ASU's already-struggling offense off the field and pull away. I think they will.
Tarleton at WT: TSU's defense has been (somewhat) better this year, but now the offense is struggling. I'll take WT coming off a dominant road win in trying conditions.
OPSU at MSU: Mustangs might start slow again, but I expect this one to be in firm control for the home team by halftime, or early 3rd quarter.
WNMU at UTPB: tough call, both have looked better-than-expected at times, and both have struggled at times. I think I'll take Permian in their 4th-straight home game.
Kingsville at Commerce: I'll take the Lions at home, but I think if TAMUK can keep it reasonably close, after the near-upset of MSU last week, you have to think the Hoggies are for real.
Ashland at Ferris: Bulldogs have been more tested recently, with 2 road wins by a combined 3 points. Ashland hasn't been on the road yet. Without knowing these teams super-well, I'll take the home team who's faced a bit more adversity rather than the team that hasn't been punched in the mouth very often so far.
Highest combined score: TSU and WT have had some shootouts before, and WT's offense seems to be clicking. If Tarleton can get things going, this could be another high-scoring game.


Lee Baker's Picks
KVII-TV Sports Director

Bonus - TAMC vs TAMK (top 2 in offense// probably means a defensive game !!)
Angelo over ENMU - (hounds have qb issues)
WTAMU over Tarleton St. - (homer pick)
Midwestern St. over OPSU - (aggies disappointing on the road after win at Pine Bluff)
WNMU over UTPB - (if lsc player of week plays western wins)
Ferris St. over #5 Ashland - (go with home team)

TAMC over TAMK - (another a&m showdown)

LSC Scoop Picks

Bonus Question - TAMK at TAMC has the best offenses and playmakers in the league

Eastern New Mexico at Angelo State - Rams struggling mightily at QB,  Greyhounds shouldn't fall behind this week, and Cass gets back on track.  ENMU 35-17

Tarleton State at West Texas A&M - Has Tarleton improved that much in one week, or is Angelo that bad?  Did the Buffs just have a bad opening week, or are CSUP and UTPB not as good as we thought early on?  Probably somewhere in the middle for both teams, so we'll take the Buffs at home.  WTAM 35-17

Oklahoma Panhandle State at #11 Midwestern State - After a tough long road win last week, are the Mustangs ripe for an upset?  Maybe in another situation, but OPSU has to be even more road weary, and have to be down a bit after last week's loss to WNMU.  This one won't be 35-17.  Mustangs roll 45-14.

Western New Mexico at UT Permian Basin - Javia Hall looks to have a good shot at another LSC POW against the Falcons.  WNMU wins the LSC newcomer crown 35-17

Ashland at Ferris State - Ferris State's last second magic runs out this week.  Ashland 35-17

#RV Texas A&M Kingsville at #6 Texas A&M Commerce - Can the Javelinas finish off a close game and throw the LSC race into chaos?  If they can avoid a prolonged stretch like last week's third quarter, they have a good chance.  However, the Lions have the ability to force errors and then take advantage of them.  Home field and experience help the Lions to a 42-32 win.

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