Saturday, October 15, 2016

Football Game Previews and LSC Scoop Expert Pickems

From the News Stands

Buffs not certain who will be QB - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
WT's tight end 'beast' running over LSC foes - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
Ram's running game picking up steam - Charles Bryce, San Angelo Standard Times
Evans the right choice for Mustangs in the clutch - J. Scott Russell, Times Record News
Mustangs look to upset Texas A&M-Commerce - C. P. Thompson, Silver City News
A&M-Kingsville hoping to ride positives - George Vondracek, Corpus Christi Caller-Times
Rams hope to upset No. 4 Midwestern - Charles Bryce, San Angelo Standard Times
Rams present good news/bad news - J. Scott Russell, Times Record News
Getting person with John Cummings - Kale Steed, Amarillo Globe News
Three keys for Tarleton at ENMU - Brad Keith, The Flash Today



LSC Game Day Links





LSC Game Previews

West Texas A&M at Oklahoma Panhandle State
WTAM Game Notes
Just two weeks ago, the Buffaloes were 3-1 and leading ENMU 28-7 in the first half.  That was then, this is now: 3-3 with Midwestern State, Texas A&M-Commerce and Angelo State looming the next three weeks.  Making matters worse, starting QB Ethan Brinkley was knocked out of last week's game, and though he is listed in the two deep as the starter, Ben Arbuckle may getting his first collegiate start Saturday.  He recovered from two early interceptions coming on in relief last week, helping the Buffs cut a 37 point deficit to just 10 before TAMK scored a late TD to ice the game.  The Aggies are still looking for their first LSC win, having played a tough conference schedule to date,   They have played tough early against Midwestern State and Angelo State last week, but could not hang for 60 minutes.  They find themselves at or near the bottom of most statistical categories, with pass offense the exception.  Shane Truelove is having a nice senior season, throwing for 221 yards per game with 8 total TDs.


#9 Texas A&M Commerce at Western New Mexico
TAMC Game Notes     
The Lions have to be a little disappointed about last week's outcome.  They seemed to have the game in hand, taking a 12 point lead with 5:29 to play, and a defense that had kept Midwestern State under control for most of the game.  The Mustangs rallied, scoring two TDs on quick 75+ yard drives and stuffed the Lions offense, forcing a three and out, when the Lions had a chance to run out the clock with a couple of first downs, and then not allowing any last second heroics as time ran out.  There's no time for feeling sorry for themselves, as the NCAA playoffs and a possible home game or two is a very attainable goal for TAMC, as long as they don't stumble along the way.  The Mustangs are still looking for a win over an established LSC team, and they are getting closer.  They trailed Midwestern State by just 6 points early in the fourth quarter and almost overcame a 21 point Tarleton State lead last week before falling 44-41.  It's a good offense, no so much defense for WNMU.  In 5 conference games Javia Hall leads the LSC with just over 300 yds per game and 16 TDs and WR Xavier Hall
averaging 119 receiving yards per game and 7 total TDs.


Tarleton State at Eastern New Mexico
Tarleton Game Notes    
The Texans have been a mild surprise this year, handing Angelo it's worse loss of the season back in week 3.  The offense has struggled running the ball, but Zed Woerner has been lights out at QB, with a 16-3 TD-Int ratio and 3 receivers in the LSC's top 10 statistically  The defense is not giving up the same amount of points and yards as last year, but they have yet to face a top 4 LSC offense - until this week.  They'll face the top LSC offense in yards gained, and rushing yards in ENMU.  The Greyhounds are averaging 347 yards rushing and 455 total, but only 30 points a game.  This is the hardest game to pick.  It could go either way, but at the same time, it would not be surprising for a 20 point win for either team.


Angelo State at #4 Midwestern State
Angelo Game Notes  
Somehow I had the Rams ranked too high.  Somehow I missed this loss to Cameron earlier this year.  Wait...what...Cameron???   Never mind, it must have just been a bad dream.  Much like the Buffs, two weeks ago, the season's prospects for the Rams looked much different than they do now.  Unlike WT, things are on the upswing for ASU, surprising TAMK two weeks ago and handling OPSU last week.  The next two weeks will show us just how far the Rams have come in such a short time.  Can they continue to win with a freshman QB leading an offense that is in the lower third of the LSC?  The Mustangs have a good offense and a good defense and that's enough to win most weeks.  It's also becoming apparent that they have "it" as well.  What is "it"?  I don't know how to describe it, but I know it when I see it.  "It" is leading your team to last minute go ahead scoring drives in the final minutes to win games over good football teams - on the road to boot.  But the Mustangs have also had a propensity of allowing teams to hang around too long, before pulling away in the second half to win games.  That could catch up to them one of these weeks...especially in a trap game, a week after a big win...just sayin'


UT Permian Basin at Texas A&M Kingsville
TAMK Game Notes
Well, no one said it would be easy, and having been around several LSC programs, Coach Carrigan knew that better than anyone.  In LSC games, the Falcons are last in scoring offense and defense 13.5-49.5 and last in yards gained and second to last in yards allowed 292.8-472 and the toughest part of the LSC schedule still upcoming.  It's unclear who the starting QB will be this week, but either Kameron Mathis of Caden Coots better be aware of the TAMK pass rush, which tallied 9 sacks last week, including 4 by the D2Football.com and LSC Defensive player of the week, Brandon Jones.  The Javelinas finally got an LSC win, snapping a 22 game conference losing streak.  It looked like they were going to do it emphatically, taking a 44-7 lead midway through the 3rd quarter.  A desperate Buffalo offense and a few TAMK mistakes led to the lead shrinking to 44-34 late in the fourth and a "oh no, here we go again" feeling from more than a few Javelina fans.  But the defense got a stop and the offense sealed the win with a 25 yd TD run.  Now that they ended the losing streak, can they get a winning streak started?



LSC Scoop Expert Pickems

J. Scott Russell
WT at OPSU – WT may still be mad from last week. Buffs 49, Aggies 17

TAMC at WNMU – Lions may be mad from last wee, too. But they also might be a little beat up. A&M-C 35, WNMU 21

Tarleton at ENMU – Both teams have shown they can score a lot, but Greyhounds appear to be on a roll. ENMU 35, Tarleton State 31

Angelo at MSU – Rams making things happen with defense, but Mustangs offense is starting to come together. MSU 37, ASU 21

UTPB at TAMK – Javs finally got an LSC win last week and will make it 2 in a row this week. Javelinas 42, Falcons 14

RMAC - Black Hills at Western State – Black Hills 35-24
RMAC - SD Mines @ Colo Mines – Colo Mines 42-35
GLVC St. Josephs at McKendree – St. Joseph’s 27-21
GLIAC/GLVC Truman State at GVSU – Grand Valley 35, Truman St. 14

 Bonus question - Which LSC game will have the largest scoring margin?  UTPB-TAMUK


Adam Ostrow
West Texas A&M
Texas A&M-Commerce
Eastern New Mexico
Midwestern State
Texas A&M-Kingsville
Black Hills State
Colorado Mines
St. Joseph's
Grand Valley
Bonus - Texas A&M Commerce over Western New Mexico


Joe Price
West Texas A&M
Texas A&M-Commerce
Eastern New Mexico
Midwestern State
Texas A&M-Kingsville
Black Hills State
Colorado Mines
McKendree
Grand Valley
Bonus - TAMK


Charles Bryce
West Texas A&M
Texas A&M-Commerce
Eastern New Mexico
Midwestern State
Texas A&M-Kingsville
Black Hills State
Colorado Mines
St. Joseph's
Grand Valley
Bonus - Texas A&M Commerce over Western New Mexico


Lee Baker
West Texas A&M
Texas A&M-Commerce
Eastern New Mexico
Midwestern State
Texas A&M-Kingsville
Black Hills State
Colorado Mines
St. Joseph's
Grand Valley
Bonus - Texas A&M Commerce over Western New Mexico


LSC Scoop
West Texas A&M -  takes out it's frustrations over the Aggies
Texas A&M-Commerce - see above
Eastern New Mexico - would not be too surprised if the Texans pull this one out
Midwestern State - avoids the trap game
Texas A&M-Kingsville - was last week's game enough to set the Hogs straight
Black Hills State - Western State having a decent year, but I'll take BHSU
Colorado Mines - which Oredigger team will show up?
McKendree - only b/c they are at home 
Grand Valley - best in GLVC no match for best in GLIAC
Bonus - Texas A&M Kingsville over UT Permian Basin

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